Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label predictions. Show all posts
It's the best night of the year for Hollywood, and for those of us that follow the movies. But I think we are ready to go beyond this year.
More during the show.
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Having been through the Film Independent Spirit awards yesterday and now getting ready for the big night...some final thoughts and final picks.
I didn't write a full column on picks and misses this year -- but there are some that have to be mentioned.
Let's make a quick PICKS list.
Best Picture
Will Win - The Artist
Should Win - The Descendants
Wish it Was Nominated - The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Best Director
Will Win - Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Should Win - Alexander Payne, The Descendants
Wish He Was Nominated - David Fincher, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Best Actor
Will Win - George Clooney, The Descendants
Should Win - George Clooney, The Descendants
Wish He Was Nominated - Michael Shannon, Take Shelter or Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March or Drive
Best Actress
Will Win - Viola Davis, The Help
Should Win - Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo OR Viola Davis, The Help
Wish She Was Nominated - Charlize Theron, Young Adult
Best Supporting Actress
Will Win - Octavia Spencer, The Help
Should Win - Octavia Spencer, The Help
Wish She Was Nominated - Shailene Woodley, The Descendants
Best Supporting Actor
Will Win - Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Should Win - Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Wish He Was Nominated - Albert Brooks, Drive AND Patton Oswalt, Young Adult
And on the other categories...
Random thoughts --
Really Really Really -- have I made it clear....Really -- missing The Interrupters in the Documentary category, but expecting a Paradise Lost 3 win.
Disappointed in the lack of Best song nominees -- but hopeful for Muppet or a Man.
Really seeing a lot of individuals that I LIKE in the crowd...and that is cool.
Wondering if Billy Crystal will be what the Academy has been lacking.
Wondering if the show comes in on schedule.
Sacha Baron Cohen...
What else???
The ceremony is coming soon -- who is your favorite?
More during the show.
Oscar Night
Are you ready for Oscar Night? Did you make those last minute picks in your office pool yet? If not, I’ve got some advice for you.
Some of the categories seem to be locked up, but let’s take a look at the big six of the night that features all of the best from 2010.
Supporting Actor
This is Christian Bale’s award, case closed. His performance in The Fighter stands at the head of an extremely solid class. If you want to take a chance on an upset, I would lean towards Geoffrey Rush for The King’s Speech.
Supporting Actress
A stunning category that could go any way imaginable, but I’d put my money on Melissa Leo for The Fighter. She’s won most of the big awards leading up to this night, and both her and Amy Adams show the true strength of the cast. If you’re looking for an upset, I might go with Hailee Stenfeld for True Grit, this could be a split the votes situation, and Hollywood seems to always offer a surprise or two.
Actor
Not worth anything but Colin Firth in this one. His performance in The King’s Speech was incredible and really shines. Want to go out on a limb? My favorite is James Franco in 127 Hours and Jesse Eisenberg could REALLY surprise for The Social Network.
Actress
Leaning towards a big win for Natalie Portman in her career best performance. In Black Swan, Natalie will have you enthralled with what she does, even if you aren’t a fan of the film. Upset to watch, probably Annette Bening for The Kids Are All Right.
Director
David Fincher would be my choice in the directing category. He is long overdue here, and The Social Network is a film that flows amazingly well. Upset here would be Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech. Though not really a huge upset, a win by Hooper here would mean a lock for The King’s Speech in Best Picture.
Best Picture
It’s a two horse race. I’m going a bit crazy here by saying this is the night for The Social Network. It will surprise as many have been saying this is now The King’s Speech award to lose, but I’ve got a feeling TSN will be “friended” by the Academy.
That's the quick look here, I'll go category by category with more in depth analysis in the FINAL THOUGHTS on Oscar Night on Saturday!
READ MORE
Are you ready for Oscar Night? Did you make those last minute picks in your office pool yet? If not, I’ve got some advice for you.
Some of the categories seem to be locked up, but let’s take a look at the big six of the night that features all of the best from 2010.
Supporting Actor
This is Christian Bale’s award, case closed. His performance in The Fighter stands at the head of an extremely solid class. If you want to take a chance on an upset, I would lean towards Geoffrey Rush for The King’s Speech.
Supporting Actress
A stunning category that could go any way imaginable, but I’d put my money on Melissa Leo for The Fighter. She’s won most of the big awards leading up to this night, and both her and Amy Adams show the true strength of the cast. If you’re looking for an upset, I might go with Hailee Stenfeld for True Grit, this could be a split the votes situation, and Hollywood seems to always offer a surprise or two.
Actor
Not worth anything but Colin Firth in this one. His performance in The King’s Speech was incredible and really shines. Want to go out on a limb? My favorite is James Franco in 127 Hours and Jesse Eisenberg could REALLY surprise for The Social Network.
Actress
Leaning towards a big win for Natalie Portman in her career best performance. In Black Swan, Natalie will have you enthralled with what she does, even if you aren’t a fan of the film. Upset to watch, probably Annette Bening for The Kids Are All Right.
Director
David Fincher would be my choice in the directing category. He is long overdue here, and The Social Network is a film that flows amazingly well. Upset here would be Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech. Though not really a huge upset, a win by Hooper here would mean a lock for The King’s Speech in Best Picture.
Best Picture
It’s a two horse race. I’m going a bit crazy here by saying this is the night for The Social Network. It will surprise as many have been saying this is now The King’s Speech award to lose, but I’ve got a feeling TSN will be “friended” by the Academy.
That's the quick look here, I'll go category by category with more in depth analysis in the FINAL THOUGHTS on Oscar Night on Saturday!
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
“The Artist” – Guillaume Schiffman
“Drive” – Newton Thomas Sigel
“Hugo” – Robert Richardson
“The Tree of Life” – Emmanuel Lubezki
“War Horse” – Janusz Kaminski
Cinematography is a category that is given to beautifully shot films. And while all of the films in this category are absolutely special to look at, to me, Emmanuel Lubezki’s visuals in The Tree of Life are second to none. That said…The Artist, if it wins here, could be in line for a big evening.“The Artist” – Guillaume Schiffman
“Drive” – Newton Thomas Sigel
“Hugo” – Robert Richardson
“The Tree of Life” – Emmanuel Lubezki
“War Horse” – Janusz Kaminski
WILL WIN: The Tree of Life, Emmanuel Lubezki
SHOULD WIN: The Tree of Life, Emmanuel LubezkiBEST ART DIRECTION
“The Artist” – Production Designer: Laurence Bennett, Art Director: Gregory S. Hooper
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2” – Production Designer: Stuart Craig, Set Decorator: Stephenie McMillan
“Hugo” – Production Designer: Dante Ferretti, Set Decorator: Francesca Lo Schiavo
“The Tree of Life” – Production Designer: Jack Fisk, Art Director: David Crank
“War Horse” – Production Designer: Rick Carter, Set Decorator: Lee Sandales
Can I push for Harry Potter to at least win some awards, please? The film is great to look at and the production and sets made you feel like you were at Hogwarts. Although that is where I may want it to go, these nominees all have the look of winners.“The Artist” – Production Designer: Laurence Bennett, Art Director: Gregory S. Hooper
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2” – Production Designer: Stuart Craig, Set Decorator: Stephenie McMillan
“Hugo” – Production Designer: Dante Ferretti, Set Decorator: Francesca Lo Schiavo
“The Tree of Life” – Production Designer: Jack Fisk, Art Director: David Crank
“War Horse” – Production Designer: Rick Carter, Set Decorator: Lee Sandales
WILL WIN: The Artist
SHOULD WIN: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
BEST EDITING
“The Artist” – Michel Hazanavicius and Anne-Sophie Bion
“Drive” – Matthew Newman
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo” – Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
“Hugo” – Thelma Schoonmaker
“War Horse” – Michael Kahn
Editing to me is harder than ever with a good action film. But that doesn’t mean it can’t be amazing on a much subtler film. The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo should win every category possible, but I don’t see it being a winner with this group. My colleagues REALLY liked Drive so who knows if this award finds its way there. And Thelma Schoonmaker, well, a legend can I say anything else?“The Artist” – Michel Hazanavicius and Anne-Sophie Bion
“Drive” – Matthew Newman
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo” – Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall
“Hugo” – Thelma Schoonmaker
“War Horse” – Michael Kahn
WILL WIN: ????
SHOULD WIN: Thelma Schoonmaker
BEST COSTUME DESIGNSHOULD WIN: Thelma Schoonmaker
“The Artist” – Mark Bridges
“The Help” – Sharen Davis
“Hugo” – Sandy Powell
“Jane Eyre” – Michael O’Connor
“My Week With Marilyn” – Jill Taylor
Costumes can make a film and in the nominees for this award this year we were transported to different eras in a flash. It would be interesting to see The Help win here as it really deserves some awards on this evening. I’m also a big fan of Hugo for this award.
WILL WIN: The ArtistSHOULD WIN: Hugo
BEST MAKEUP
Albert Nobbs
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
The Iron Lady
J. Edgar
My Week With Marilyn
I should mention at this point – should win DOES NOT necessarily mean I voted for that. Just that I think it SHOULD win. On to Makeup! Really nice job throughout the category. Meryl Streep BECOMES Margaret Thatcher, Leo looking like J. Edgar and Glen Close. Those three together with Marilyn Monroe AND Harry Potter. Well who wins????Albert Nobbs
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
The Iron Lady
J. Edgar
My Week With Marilyn
WILL WIN: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 (Though….The Iron Lady could win)
SHOULD WIN: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
The Tree of Life
Visually these are five stunning films in each of their own ways. I know our group really likes Rise of the Planet of the Apes and Super 8. Plus Hugo reigned with a slew of nominations…so don’t coulnt it out.Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Hugo
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Super 8
The Tree of Life
WILL WIN: Hugo
SHOULD WIN: Super 8 or Harry Potter BEST SOUND
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Hugo
Super 8
The Tree of Life
War Horse
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
Hugo
Super 8
The Tree of Life
War Horse
How about Super 8? Can we give it something…please? Although a beautiful set of statues for Harry Potter would be nice as well.
WILL WIN: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2
SHOULD WIN: Super 8BEST SONG
“Hello Hello” – performed by Elton John and Lady Gaga/written by Elton John and Bernie Taupin – Gnomeo & Juliet
“Life’s a Happy Song” – performed by Jason Segel, Amy Adams and Walter/written by Bret McKenzie – The Muppets
“The Living Proof” – performed by Mary J. Blige/written by Mary J. Blige, Thomas Newman and Harvey Mason, Jr. – The Help
“Man or Muppet” – performed by Jason Segel and Walter/written by Bret McKenzie – The Muppets
“Pictures in My Head” – performed by Kermit and the Muppets/written by Jeannie Lurie, Aris Archontis and Chen Neeman – The Muppets
Ok…sure there are other songs nominated – but is there anyone who thinks The Muppets don’t win? The only question is which one.“Hello Hello” – performed by Elton John and Lady Gaga/written by Elton John and Bernie Taupin – Gnomeo & Juliet
“Life’s a Happy Song” – performed by Jason Segel, Amy Adams and Walter/written by Bret McKenzie – The Muppets
“The Living Proof” – performed by Mary J. Blige/written by Mary J. Blige, Thomas Newman and Harvey Mason, Jr. – The Help
“Man or Muppet” – performed by Jason Segel and Walter/written by Bret McKenzie – The Muppets
“Pictures in My Head” – performed by Kermit and the Muppets/written by Jeannie Lurie, Aris Archontis and Chen Neeman – The Muppets
WILL WIN: Life’s a Happy Song, The Muppets
SHOULD WIN: Man or Muppet, The MuppetsBEST SCORE
“The Artist” – Ludovic Bource
“Drive” – Cliff Martinez
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo” – Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
“Hugo” – Howard Shore
“War Horse” – John Williams
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross are amazing! And we have some different competition in here this year. I could see our group going for Drive as well. And of course veterans like Howard Shore and John Williams are alongside Ludovic Bource, whose score really set the tone for the otherwise silent, The Artist.“The Artist” – Ludovic Bource
“Drive” – Cliff Martinez
“The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo” – Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross
“Hugo” – Howard Shore
“War Horse” – John Williams
SHOULD WIN: Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
WILL WIN: Ludovic Bource, The ArtistBEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“The Artist” – Michel Hazanavicius
“50/50” – Will Reiser
“Midnight in Paris” – Woody Allen
“Win Win” – Screenplay by Tom McCarthy, Story by Tom McCarthy & Joe Tiboni
“Young Adult” – Diablo Cody
Ahh…screenplays…One of my favorite categories in the awards. The Original Screenplay seems loaded, much as adapted is this year. The original idea behind the Artist is solid..but personally I love Diablo Cody’s tone in Young Adult and 50/50 is something truly special and personal.“The Artist” – Michel Hazanavicius
“50/50” – Will Reiser
“Midnight in Paris” – Woody Allen
“Win Win” – Screenplay by Tom McCarthy, Story by Tom McCarthy & Joe Tiboni
“Young Adult” – Diablo Cody
SHOULD WIN: Diablo Cody, Young Adult or Wil Reiser, 50/50
WILL WIN: Michel Hazanvicius, The ArtistBEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“The Descendants” – Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
“Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close” – Eric Roth
“The Help” – Tate Taylor
“Hugo” – John Logan
“Moneyball” – Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin, Story by Stan Chervin
Man I like all these films. And part of the reason I like this set of movies…great screenplays. I could see any of thee films walking home a winner.“The Descendants” – Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
“Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close” – Eric Roth
“The Help” – Tate Taylor
“Hugo” – John Logan
“Moneyball” – Steven Zaillian and Aaron Sorkin, Story by Stan Chervin
SHOULD WIN: The Descendants
WILL WIN: The Help
Totally unscientific, and really out there...but some things I feel confident of...others are WIDE open. Tomorrow – a look at all the acting and directing categories.